Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions Odds tota
The and will wrap up Week 5 in the when these AFC West rivals square off at Arrowhead Stadium for "Monday Night Football." Coming into the weekend, the Chiefs found themselves sitting atop the division at 3-1, while Las Vegas is on the opposite end of the spectrum, sitting in last with a 1-3 record. However, the Raiders were able to notch their first win of the Josh McDaniels era last week against Denver, so could this be a sign that they've turned the tide? We'll soon find out.Here, we'll specifically be looking at the different betting angles that this game has to offer. Along with the spread and total, we'll also take a look at several player props and hand in our picks for how we see this showdown unfolding.Date:Monday, Oct. 10 |Time:8:15 p.m. ETLocation:Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mi souri)TV: ESPN | Stream: (try for free)Follow:Odds:Chiefs -7, O/U 51.5 Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders Moneyline Spread Total KC LV When this line first opened in the spring, the Chiefs were a 6-point favorite over last Vegas. That only ticked up a half-point in the lookahead to Jaromir Jagr Jersey this matchup before moving to the full touchdown marker. That 7-point spread held through the events of Week 4. The pick: Chiefs -7. Kansas City is coming off an impre sive win over the and looks to be in midseason form. Defensively, the Chiefs rank fifth in the NFL in DVOA against the run, which is particularly of note when they face the Raiders in Week 5. carried the Raiders to victory last week with 177 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns. I doubt he'll be able to do that a second time, especially against this Chiefs defense. Meanwhile, is making an early MVP case with his play throughout the first month and now faces a Raiders team he's dominated throughout his career.Mahomes is 7-1 against the Raiders, including a 3-1 record at Arrowhead Stadium. All three of those wins at home have come by 30-plus points. Kansas City is also 12-6 ATS against the Raiders under Andy Reid.Key trend: Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games in Kansas City.The total initially opened at 52.5 but sunk two points to 50.5 in the lookahead. It did creep back up to its opening number to begin the week and did climb as high as 53, before falling to 51.5 to end the week. The pick: Over 51.5.As we highlighted above, the Chiefs have exploded offensively against this team Andrej Sekera Men Jersey in the past. In the season sweep of the Raiders last season, they averaged 44.5 points per game! Naturally, both of those games went over this current total. Of course, it's hard to pencil in 40-plus points from any team on a weekly basis, but the Chiefs have the firepower to light up the scoreboard. The Raiders certainly have the pieces to also put up points with headlining the skill-position group, but they may not even need to do much heavy lifting if Kansas City stays relatively close to its average.Key trend: Over is 4-0 in their last four meetings. KC QB #15 CMP%66.4YDs1106TD11INT2YD/Att7.58 Pa sing touchdowns:2.5 (Over +136, Under -189)Pa sing yards:276.5 ( John Klingberg Kids Jersey Over -117, Under -117)Rushing yards: 18.5 (Over -111, Under -123)Longest pa s completion:36.5 (Over -123, Under -111)Interceptions:0.5 (Over +139, Under -194)As we noted, Mahomes dominates this matchup. He has a lifetime 112.4 pa ser rating against the Raiders and has 22 pa sing touchdowns in eight starts (2.75 per game). Give that history, I'd lean on the lofty Over 2.5 pa sing touchdowns at +136. He's already thrown for three-plus touchdowns twice this season, including three last week against Tampa Bay. Mahomes has also averaged 318.3 pa sing yards per game in his career against the Raiders and this secondary is allowing 7.5 yards per pa s attempt. However, proceed with caution on that pa sing yards prop as Mahomes has gone under that number in three of his four games played this season. LV QB #4 CMP%61.0YDs1038TD6INT4YD/Att6.74 Pa sing touchdowns:1.5 (Over -131, Under -104)Pa sing yards:272.5 (Over -117, Under -117)Rushing yards: 7.5 (Over -127, Under -108)Longest pa s completion:36.5 (Over -119, Under -115)Interceptions:0.5 (Over -111, Under -123)Carr has struggled to find succe s against Kansas City, going 3-13 as a starter in his career which is tied for the worst record by a QB vs. an opponent since 2022 (min. 15 games). That said, he has played well as an underdog in the past with 31 career wins under that circumstance. He's gone over this pa sing prop in two of his four games played this season. In his career, he's averaged 242.4 pa sing yards per Curtis McKenzie Men Jersey game. However, with the expectation that his team will be trailing in this game, that would suggest he'll need to drop back and pa s more often giving him more opportunities to pile up the pa sing yards. That has me leaning Over on his pa sing yards prop. The Chiefs also rank 21st against the pa s in DVOA this season. total receiving yards: Over 70.5 (-119). Kelce has seen a healthy target share this season, seeing no fewer than seven targets per game. His 34 targets through the first month also lead the Chiefs pa s-catching unit, so he is still very much the No. 1 option for Mahomes. He's also gone over Gemel Smith Women Jersey this receiving yards mark twice this season and the Raiders present a favorable matchup. Kelce averages 76.6 receiving yards per game against the Raiders in his career and currently has the sixth-most receiving yards vs. the franchise all time.Davante Adams total receptions: Over 7.5 (+104). This is admittedly a big number, but a fun prop to back especially at plus-money. Adams is the top dog in the Raiders pa sing game and should see a healthy amount of targets from Carr. This season, he's averaging 11.8 targets per game and has gone over this prop twice. Kansas City is allowing opposing quarterback to complete 30.8 pa ses per game (most in the NFL) on a 70.3 completion percentage (31st). With that soft coverage and high-volume ceiling, Adams has a great shot to cash here.